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EURUSD, 3D
Long-Term
08 September 2023
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Forex trading is an exhilarating endeavor that offers substantial profit potential, but it's also laden with risks. The volatile nature of currency markets means prices can swing swiftly and unpredictably. In this comprehensive article, we'll delve into the compelling reasons why every forex trader needs to implement stop loss orders. We'll provide real-world examples and demonstrate how these protective measures can safeguard your trading capital. The Imperative of Stop Loss Orders A stop loss order is a predefined price level set by traders to limit potential losses. It serves as an automatic trigger that closes a trade when the market moves against their position. Here's why stop loss orders are indispensable in the world of forex trading: 1. Risk Management: Forex trading carries inherent risks, and no one can predict market movements with absolute certainty. Stop loss orders allow traders to quantify their risk and protect their capital. 2. Emotion Control: Trading can evoke strong emotions, leading to impulsive decisions during adverse price movements. Stop loss orders remove the need for impromptu choices, promoting discipline and reducing emotional stress. 3. Preserve Capital: Trading is a long-term game. By limiting losses, stop loss orders help traders maintain their capital, ensuring they have the resources to seize future opportunities. Real-World Examples Example 1: EUR/USD Trade: Example 2: USD/JPY Trade: In the thrilling yet risky realm of forex trading, safeguarding your investments is non-negotiable. Stop loss orders are your protective shield, offering resilience against unexpected market movements and impulsive decision-making. By incorporating stop loss orders into your trading strategy, you can effectively manage risk, maintain discipline, and ensure that your forex journey is marked by longevity and success. 🛡📉💼 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
EURUSD, 60
Short-Term
08 September 2023
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EURUSD Wyckoff Pattern EURUSD - H1 Chart - Wyckoff Pattern in Accumulation Phase 1. Preliminary Support (PS) Preliminary Support or PS is a support level that forms after a significant fall in market prices. It’s caused by Big Institutional Players and Smart money traders, when they try to acquire bullish positions after a strong selloff. In the image, you can notice that after a Sharp fall, the price action bounced back and moved sideways – That’s the example of Preliminary Support Once a Preliminary Support is established, Market will find it very hard to break that support level because of Strong buying interest. 2. Selling Climax (SC) Selling Climax is another pattern in Accumulation phase characterized by sharp selloff. It takes place before the Preliminary Support or PS. It indicates that selling pressure has reached a stage in which panic selling by the public will be absorbed by Big Institutional players or Smart money traders. Selling Climax often coincides with bad news or some negative events, as it is caused by the panic selling behavior of public Investors. Big players often use the Selling Climax to acquire positions at lower price. In the Image, you can see the example of Selling Climax Pattern. The bounce back in market prices followed by Selling climax reflects the buying interest of Big Players. 3. Automatic Rally (AR) Automatic Rally is an up move that forms after the Selling Climax in the Accumulation phase. The underlying buying interest cause the prices to rally higher, but quickly prices will fall back after making a new high. The highest point of this rally will become the Resistance of the Accumulation range. You can see the example of Automatic Rally or AR in the Image. After an Automatic Rally, Intense selling activity from the Public decreases and bearish sentiment becomes weaker. 4. Secondary Test (ST) The Secondary Test formation happens after an Automatic Rally. It’s caused by the long covering process of Public Investors, which brings the price back to the area of Preliminary Support. Often prices will bounce back after touching the Preliminary Support indicating the presence of Buying Interest. Secondary Test is a reflection that market prices have found the bottom. It is common to have Multiple Secondary Tests, as the market will retest the Preliminary Support to check the strength of Buyers. In the Image, you can see the examples of Secondary test. 5. Springs Springs are nothing but shakeouts that happens within the Accumulation phase. The prices will fall below the Preliminary Support of the trading range only to reverse back above the trading range within a short time period. (Often referred as False Breakout) Thank you
BTCUSD, 240
Long-Term
10 September 2023
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This week is going to be huge! We have this head and shoulders pattern that is ready for a massive breakout. I give it a 70% chance of breaking down and a 30% chance of breaking out of this pattern. The most important thing is to let me know in the comment section what you think about this upcoming crash or pump! Up or down? Bitcoin is on the road to 20k and potentially 15k later this year if this pattern breaks down, so for the bulls, it's important to defend this support and start a new uptrend from here. As you probably already know from my previous ideas, September is the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average negative return. That means the price of Bitcoin usually goes down in September. This is a statistical fact, but of course it's not a guarantee. It's likely for Bitcoin to go down based on historical data. The halving event in April next year is still too far away, so you cannot rely on it. Most likely, we are going to find the bottom on Bitcoin in March 2024. This is a quick update on the price of Bitcoin. I always give you a complete outlook for Bitcoin to stay updated on all time frames. From monthly to hourly. Make sure you follow me so you do not miss out on my next update! We all know that the price of Bitcoin can sometimes become very boring when it's stuck in a range and volatility is at its historical minimum. But it is how it is, and that's why if you are a crypto trader, you can trade altcoins as well for diversification purposes. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTCUSDT, 240
Long-Term
05 September 2023
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Bitcoin's recent performance has shown a slight decline of 0.56% compared to the previous day, leading it to enter the support range spanning from $25,590 to $25,480. Although an encouraging response has been witnessed within this range, there lingers a potential for breaching the support threshold. As the cryptocurrency strives to navigate its trajectory, it encounters immediate resistance around the $25,650 level and a notable trend line. This initial hurdle is merely a prelude to the substantial barrier situated at the $26,000 mark. A breakthrough above this level could inaugurate a promising wave of recovery, potentially propelling the price towards $26,500. Further gains may be within reach if the cryptocurrency surmounts the subsequent formidable resistance at $26,200, possibly paving the way for a substantial upsurge. An ascent beyond this threshold carries the prospect of attaining the next major resistance near $27,000, opening the door to a significant escalation. Should this scenario transpire, the price might undertake a test of the $27,800 level, marking a pivotal point in its trajectory. Yet, should Bitcoin falter in its pursuit to conquer the $26,000 resistance, a continuation of its downward movement remains plausible. In the event of such a setback, immediate support materializes around the $25,350 level, followed by a more substantial support tier near $25,000. A breach beneath this critical level could potentially trigger a deeper descent, with the price descending towards the $24,600 mark. As the market dynamic unfolds, the interplay between resistance and support levels will undoubtedly shape Bitcoin's journey in the days ahead.
BTCUSDT, 240
Long-Term
03 September 2023
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In the preceding 24-hour period, Bitcoin's price exhibited a range-bound movement, reflecting a momentary potential for an upward shift towards the resistance range situated between $26,000 and $26,500. This pattern becomes pertinent within the context of the prevailing downtrend that has characterized Bitcoin's price trajectory. As the price continues to experience downward pressure, it remains plausible that it may react upon encountering either of the two aforementioned resistance levels, leading to a continuation of the ongoing bearish trend. Currently positioned at a pivotal support level, Bitcoin presents the possibility of a climb towards the $26,300 mark, contingent upon its ability to maintain its position above this critical support threshold. Yesterday's analysis noted the occurrence of another lower low in the medium-term, as Bitcoin's price declined to $25,300. This decline followed a mid-term correction that was initiated from the $28,200 price point. Noteworthy in this regard is that the subsequent lower time frame activity indicated a modest yet notable bounce towards the $25,800 range, where trading activity has predominantly occurred over the past 24 hours. Confirmation from the market in the form of higher trading volumes remains a decisive factor awaiting validation. Should a breakout above this range occur, accompanied by a conclusive closure, the trajectory points towards a potential climb towards $28,400. Conversely, a bearish scenario entails the possibility of a break and closure below the $25,000 threshold on the daily chart, potentially leading to a downturn with a target around $23,500. The current state of the market for Bitcoin stands at a juncture where both upward and downward possibilities are viable, hinging on the interplay between critical support and resistance levels. As the market evolves, careful observation of these levels alongside volume trends will be crucial in determining the direction of Bitcoin's price movement in the immediate future. Good luck.
BTCUSDT, 1W
Long-Term
02 September 2023
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Logarithm 1 week. The key is the formation of a large symmetrical triangle (perhaps it will reformat into an ascending triangle). Perhaps, as in the last cycle, after its formation there will be a false breakout with a -40% (03 2020) extra long position being taken out before the real trend reversal. Whether it will happen again this time or not is another question. Just don't rule out such a situation. The levels are accurate. I am more inclined to believe that even if something like this happens (not necessarily), the formation will not be messed up on a large time frame on a linear price chart like last time. That is, there will be a big squeeze of "snot" without price fixing. This idea to watch is a projection with a more detailed explication of the level zones of the past idea. Published below. BTC/USD Main trend (part). Forming potential. Triangle Formation of a big triangle and before the trend reversal super takeout (using the world situation with corono virus) of BTC longs by squeezing by -40% Trading on trends and important zones using Bitcoin Training/Work Idea 15 02 2020 Price at the edge of a triangle. Crypto media launches “black PR” in the manner of bitcoin soon 500$. Exchange bots on liquid exchanges stop tipping trading volume (interest in bitcoin)—as a result, "the glass is drying up”. Real supply/demand picture without incentives. Fear. Spoofing pressure down (illusion of a big seller that wasn't there). Panic selling “dusts” the majority. Price falls to the downside. This takeout is -40% after a triangle formed and everyone was expecting a super bullish trend. Then depression in the market, expectations of a new XXX bottom by the majority, intimidation of crypto media. Which naturally didn't happen (where to go down after 1 week -40% dump?). Everything happened for obvious reasons on the contrary, trend reversal and price growth more than +1000% Major trend. Time frame 1 month. BTC/USD Secondary Trend Cycles and Halvings You might find it useful to look at everything on a larger scale. The entire BTC primary trend and bitcoin cycles. Nothing extraordinary is happening so far and is unlikely to happen. Price is moving in the main long-term channel area along dynamic support. Note also the non-mainstream potential trend lines (dynamic support/resistance). They are placed extremely accurately, not on a line chart (it is chosen just to illustrate the trend price movement). It is also quite possible that you will be interested in time zones (similarly extremely accurate as possible). Psychology. Manipulations. Someone will say that the previous stories of banal logical debunking are not repeated in the future. I am of the opposite opinion, I see constantly the same "hackneyed" manipulations on the stock and crypto market on a more localized scale. I don't rule out the same "song" being repeated globally. Why invent something new, if the old and simple, as before, has a great effectiveness in achieving the goals.
BTCUSDT, 240
Long-Term
02 September 2023
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Hey everyone, Let's dive into our analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) and see what's been happening lately. First off, we noticed a descending channel forming, which is a common pattern in technical analysis. However, something interesting happened – BTC managed to break out of this channel. But hold on, the story doesn't end there. After the breakout, BTC didn't quite shoot to the moon. Instead, it embarked on a downward journey, eventually touching the lower boundary of the channel, marking the second touchpoint. This can sometimes be a signal of strong support or resistance. Following this touch, BTC decided to hang out in a range for a bit. It traded sideways within a defined range and, importantly, it then broke out of this range to reach a level we've marked as the gray area, which was our target from the range pattern. Bulls were dancing at this point. However, the crypto rollercoaster had more twists in store. After hitting our target, BTC resumed its downward movement and formed what's known as a QM pattern. This pattern often indicates a potential reversal or a significant change in trend direction. Now, here's where the real excitement begins. We've identified two blue areas that seem like attractive spots for short positions: **Entry Range:** 26,220 - 26,805 **Target:** 25,312 These levels could potentially be strategic for traders looking to capitalize on a bearish move. Of course, it's important to remember that the crypto market can be highly volatile, and it's wise to incorporate risk management strategies into your trading plan. So, in summary, BTC has taken us on a journey through a descending channel, a range, and now a QM pattern, offering some interesting shorting opportunities for those willing to navigate these market dynamics. Keep a close eye on these levels and be ready to adapt as the market unfolds. Happy trading! _______________________________ always do your research. If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
BTCUSD, 1M
Long-Term
02 September 2023
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The graph is logarithmic. A large time frame of 1 month (to understand the essence of cycles). Main trend (part). 🧠🗣I wrote about it before and showed examples many times. Everything is developing according to a logical plan at this point. I'll remind you again, with lots of examples. 1️⃣🔴🟣🟢There is a high probability that after this intermediate cycle, there will be a significant reset before the real bull cycle (remember, now BTC grew in price, but all almost all altcoins are still in their accumulation zones (horizontal channels more than 13 months), it is not a bull market, but an accumulation zone, with possible logical withdrawal of passengers). The potential for this distribution zone of this intermediate cycle is under $40,000. BTC/USD 2018 -2019 Psychology. Cycles. "dNO and the thirtieth dNO (published with a detailed explanation on 28 11 2022) Closer to the BTC halving there will very likely be a significant drop like the coronodump (-40% for a few days (using the world situation) and the same super fast recovery). Could come out something like the old one, in a global big symmetrical triangle and a big squeeze. 📈Trade idea (cycles)👉🏻BTC possible global triangle formation. Pamp of alts (Published prior to its formation on 28 06 2019) And some time later, when this triangle was formed and it began to be advertised on the Internet and in the media - the publication of the idea of training / work, before the super dump (collecting liquidity at the expense of stop loss). 📈Training/Working Idea👉🏻 Trading on trends and important zones using Bitcoin (published 02/15 2020). 📈Educational Idea/trading👉🏻BTC/USD Total % Comparison to 2013-2015 fall (publication 6 07 2022). This probability can be used in your strategic planning, or not, if you are impartial (psychology, strategic thinking, understanding of cycles) to the noise disturbances that occur in the cryptocurrency market. 📈The idea of training/work👉🏻 RIF/USDT Principle of channel work. Complicated % money management 📈The learning/work idea👉🏻BTC/USD Secondary Trend Cycles and Halving (to understand the big picture and trend direction) As there is universal digitalization and super hype ahead. In the first and second cases, if you don't get into futures and margin with inadequate leverage and risk (greed, incompetence, psychology of a fool) and keep "all your eggs in one basket" (diversification) you will definitely be in super profit. 2️⃣🔴🟢Another option is the formation of a huge triangle (more bullish than symmetrical) on BTC as we were told publicly over 2 years ago with key reversal points by "Novus Ordo Seclorum" mouthpiece Ilon Musk (he—they do not know the future, they assume or plan, but it does not necessarily happen, history is a witness to that). On this occasion in the idea of observation, prices superimposed on the chart, came out something like a triangle. So far, conventionally +- everything is on track. 📈 Education idea/trading👉🏻BTC/USD Main Trend (part). Musk. Psychology. Triangle (published 10 07 2022 the chart is no longer traceable as the FTX exchange went into prolonged anabiosis until the US presidential election). 🐹Logic at work for the hamster that "got it": 📈Training idea👉🏻Pulling loss-making trades into profits. Martingale + Position Trading (Published 8 12 2019) BTC secondary trend now BTC/USD Secondary trend. Medium-term work. Pivot zone The local situation on bitcoin right now. Time frame 1 day. Local situation. The zone of price clamping. Consolidation of the price under the level of 31,327. The ascending channel. Fractal logical repeatability. High probability of an impulse at the expense of Stop-Loss short positions when sufficient volume gathers. Although it can be done as in the first local cycle in the channel, first to liquidate the Stop-Loss long, then only to make an impulse upwards due to the domino effect of triggering Stop-Loss short positions. It all depends on what volume, accumulated #StopLoss and which way is more profitable to go against the expectations of the majority. Be less greedy - you will be richer. Hurry slowly, always doubting, so you will be "immune" from impulsive emotional rash decisions.
BTCUSDT, 240
Long-Term
02 September 2023
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Bitcoin's price exhibited a negative response upon reaching the $28,000 resistance level. Subsequently, it retraced to its support zone due to the prevailing downtrend observed on higher timeframes. Notably, the previously observed ceilings of range channels have transformed into resistance levels once again. This price action has led Bitcoin to revisit a liquidity range favored by buyers, specifically around $25,500. In the past 24 hours, the price has indeed reached this mark. It's worth noting that Bitcoin's breach of the lower boundary of the recent strong upward movement around $26,000 suggests the potential continuation of the downtrend, possibly leading to a test of the $24,600 range. This is significant as Bitcoin's reaction to this level has been favorable in the futures market, implying a probable reduction in price in the spot market to match this level. At present, Bitcoin finds itself in close proximity to a significant support area, where robust buying pressure has materialized. This situation sets the stage for potential accumulation before the next significant price movement takes place. Moreover, recent price movements have seen Bitcoin descending to a lower midterm low at $25,300. This decline followed the initiation of a mid-term correction from the $28,200 price point. Notably, this decline served to clear out a substantial number of long positions, potentially setting the stage for an upcoming price surge in the coming days, contingent upon Bitcoin's ability to maintain its position above $25,000. The current market stance is tenuous, as breaching and subsequently closing below the $25,000 threshold could potentially trigger further downward movement towards the $24,600 level. This scenario could also have a cascading effect on the broader market. Conversely, for the bullish scenario, a decisive movement above $26,500 is essential to ensure a more secure market trajectory. In conclusion, the recent market dynamics and Bitcoin's price behavior point towards a delicate balance between potential downward pressures and bullish opportunities. The interplay of support and resistance levels, coupled with ongoing market sentiment, will likely shape the near-term trajectory of Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market. Good luck.