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Quote feed: 2026-09-15T00:28:24.658Z. Analysis dates are shown separately.

Crypto · RAY

Raydium (RAY) Technical Analysis

$1.4+1.94% 24h

Overall rating

56/100 · Neutral
x

Price chart & daily analysis

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Analysis snapshot · 1h

Raydium Technical Analysis for 2026-09-14

Start with the signal balance, then check the market context and scenarios before using the detailed source analysis. Live prices may differ from the prices recorded in this snapshot.

Snapshot date: September 14, 2026

Decision snapshot

Why buy or sell Raydium?

The two balances use the same independent inputs. They explain the current evidence; they are not a price forecast or a trade command.

Signal summary

Why buy

55%bullish balance

Weighted average of 4 independent layers for 1h. Technical analysis 30%, chart patterns 20%, market activity 20%, fundamentals 15%, and trader sentiment 15%; 45–55/100 is neutral.

Signal summary

Why sell

45%bearish balance

Weighted average of 4 independent layers for 1h. Technical analysis 30%, chart patterns 20%, market activity 20%, fundamentals 15%, and trader sentiment 15%; 45–55/100 is neutral.

No layer is meaningfully bearish. The sell balance is the remaining uncertainty, not a separate sell recommendation.

Market summary

What is the current Raydium view?

The available TraderStat evidence is currently bullish: buyers hold the directional balance across 4 independent analysis layers.

The two cards above use a weighted average, not a forecast. Scores from 45 to 55 out of 100 are neutral, so small changes do not move the buy or sell balance.

Decision framework

Bullish and bearish scenarios

Bullish confirmation

The bullish case strengthens if Technical analysis and Fundamental data stay above the neutral 50/100 level and the chart confirms the move.

Bearish confirmation

The bearish case strengthens if the negative data layers remain below 50/100 or the chart invalidates the bullish setup.

Source analysis · September 14, 2026

Key Takeaways

  • Price: RAY is trading at $1.4236 as of the latest chart snapshot.
  • Overall Sentiment: The technical structure on higher timeframes (1h, 4h) carries a bearish bias, with both showing valid downside targets.
  • Lower Timeframe Conflict: A direct directional conflict exists between the 15m (bearish) and 30m (bullish) charts, indicating short-term indecision.
  • Key Risk: The RSI on the 4h chart is elevated at 80, suggesting the asset may be overbought in that context, adding caution to the medium-term bearish read.

Overview

  • Important nuances: RAY shows a price of $1.4236, yet the data lacks an overall, fundamental, or social score. The overall rating is not available due to missing fundamental and social data. The technical score sits at 56/100, which is above the neutral 50 midpoint, reflecting a slightly constructive technical setup despite conflicting timeframe signals.

Lower Timeframe Analysis (15m and 30m)

15m: The pattern score is 100, indicating a significant pattern was detected. The analysis price is $1.4236. Three Wedge patterns were identified (all neutral in direction). The pattern's arrow direction is down, and the valid target price is $1.3598. The 15m technical score is 49, which is slightly below the neutral 50 midpoint, suggesting a modestly weaker short-term technical reading.

30m: The pattern score is 100, indicating a significant pattern was detected. The analysis price is $1.3819. Three Wedge patterns were identified (all neutral in direction). The pattern's arrow direction is up, and the valid target price is $1.4027. The 30m technical score is 58, above the neutral 50 midpoint, indicating a more constructive short-term setup than the 15m.

  • Important nuances: A clear short-term directional conflict exists between the 15m and 30m charts. The 15m chart shows a bearish bias with a valid downside target, while the 30m chart indicates a bullish bias with a valid upside target. This division points to a lack of consensus among short-term traders.

Higher Timeframe Analysis (1h and 4h)

1h: The pattern score is 50, indicating a significant pattern was detected. The analysis price is $1.4521. Three Wedge patterns were identified (all neutral in direction). The arrow direction is down, and the valid target price is $1.1905. The 1h technical score is 56, above the neutral midpoint, which supports the bearish pattern data. Key indicators like the EMA score at 81 and Moving Averages at 76 are elevated, contrasting with the bearish target.

4h: The pattern score is 50, indicating a significant pattern was detected. The analysis price is $1.6178. Three Wedge patterns were identified (all neutral in direction). The arrow direction is down, and the valid target price is $0.8413. The 4h technical score is 57, above the neutral midpoint, reinforcing the technical lean. The high RSI of 80 is a key nuance that could act as a resistance point.

  • Important nuances: Both higher timeframes carry a bearish direction, suggesting the medium-term momentum may be to the downside. The 4h RSI of 80 is notably elevated, a condition often associated with overbought readings that can precede a pullback.

On-Chain Context and Risks

The on-chain score is 50/100, indicating a neutral reading. This rating is at the mid-point because many underlying metrics are not available for analysis. With null values for fees, DEX volume, and stablecoin market cap, the data provides no strong signal for or against the current price. The lack of on-chain data is a significant risk, as it prevents verification of network health.

  • Important nuances: The on-chain context is largely unavailable. The on-chain score is exactly at the neutral 50 midpoint, offering no directional bias. Key metrics, including fees, DEX volume, and chain TVL, are null. The `chain_change_1d_pct` shows a decline of -1.53%, but this is based on very limited data.

Confirmation and Invalidation Triggers

  • Important nuances: Triggers must be based solely on valid targets and analysis prices from the data.
  • Downside Confirmation: A decisive break and close below the 15m support line near the analysis price of $1.4236 could act as a confirmation for the 15m bearish target of $1.3598. A sustained move below the 1h target of $1.1905 would further invalidation any bullish lower-timeframe signals.
  • Upside Confirmation: A clear move above the 30m analysis price of $1.3819 could validate the 30m bullish target of $1.4027. A break above the 1h resistance level of $1.743 would negate the higher timeframe bearish pattern.
  • Invalidation: The primary invalidation for the bearish case is a sustained move above the 1h resistance at $1.743. For the bullish case, a failure to hold above the 15m support area described in the chart would invalidate any short-term upside bias.

Short-Term and Long-Term Read

Short-Term Read: The data leans toward a cautious, range-bound interpretation. The direct conflict between the 15m (bearish) and 30m (bullish) signals suggests the market is undecided in the near term. A trader might wait for a clear resolution of this conflict before leaning in either direction. The data does not yet support a clear short-term directional call.

Long-Term Read: The higher timeframe analysis (1h and 4h) both show valid bearish targets, which points toward bearish momentum over the medium term. However, the 4h RSI at 80 is an overbought condition that could lead to a short-term correction or pause. The setup leans bearish for the longer term, but the elevated RSI introduces a risk of a near-term bounce before a potential resumption of the downtrend.

For the latest analysis, check the permanent Raydium hub.

01 · RAY

Technical Analysis

Trend and momentum scores by timeframe. Select a chart timeframe above to inspect its indicators.

TimeframeScoreSignal
15m49/100Neutral
30m58/100Neutral
1h56/100Neutral
4h57/100Neutral
1d64/100Buy
1w63/100Buy

Indicators · 1h

IndicatorReading
RSI63
MACD38
Moving Averages76
EMA Trend81
Bollinger Bands59
Stochastic Oscillator40
ADX52
ATR Volatility50
OBV69
Volume Trend52
Momentum48
CCI81
Williams %R51
VWAP28
Ichimoku Cloud45
02 · RAY

Chart Patterns Rating

Pattern ratings across six timeframes. The chart above displays available pattern geometry for the selected timeframe.

TimeframeScoreSignal
15mNo dataNot enough data
30mNo dataNot enough data
1hNo dataNot enough data
4hNo dataNot enough data
1dNo dataNot enough data
1wNo dataNot enough data
View patterns on chart ↑
03 · RAY

Onchain Data

Available network and market activity scores for Raydium. Underlying wallet flows and transaction details are not available in this snapshot.

TimeframeScoreSignal
15m50/100Neutral
30m50/100Neutral
1h50/100Neutral
4h50/100Neutral
1d50/100Neutral
1w50/100Neutral
04 · RAY

Social View

Published trader setups for Raydium, including direction, levels and links to the original source.

SummaryActive social trader signals
0 buy0 sell

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05 · RAY

Dex Traders

Current open positions in RAY from tracked DEX traders.

Long

Short

Tracked traders

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06 · RAY

Investors

Data unavailable

A verified investor holdings and allocation feed for Raydium is not currently available. Short-term DEX positions are shown separately in Dex Traders.

07 · RAY

Fundamental Rating

Fundamental scores, separate from technical price indicators. Missing readings mean that no score is available for that timeframe.

TimeframeScoreSignal
15m58/100Neutral
30m58/100Neutral
1h58/100Neutral
4h58/100Neutral
1d58/100Neutral
1w58/100Neutral
Traders Insight
Live consensus for RAY

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