Ethereum Classic (ETC) Technical Analysis Today

• Current price: $7.83 (synchronized from the latest lower-timeframe chart snapshot).
• Overall sentiment: Mixed. The composite technical score of 57 sits slightly above the neutral 50 midpoint, but the on-chain score of 44 is below neutral. Pattern analysis reveals bearish targets across all four chart timeframes.
• Lower-timeframe conflict: No conflict – both the 15‑minute and 30‑minute charts show bearish wedge patterns with validated downside targets.
• Key risk: On-chain fundamentals are weakening. Chain TVL has declined ~9.7% over 30 days, stablecoin netflow has dropped 100% over the same period, and fees have contracted sharply on a 30‑day basis.

Ethereum Classic is trading at $7.83 as of the latest 15‑minute snapshot. The technical score of 57 (out of 100) reflects a slight bullish tilt in indicator readings, but the on-chain score of 44 suggests underlying weakness. Pattern analysis across all timeframes points to bearish targets, creating a tension between the moderately positive technical score and the bearish chart formations. The price has risen 2.95% in the last 24 hours, yet the pattern structure warns of potential downside.

• Important nuances: The overall technical score (57) is above neutral but not decisively bullish. The on-chain score (44) is below neutral, indicating fundamental headwinds. No overall, fundamental, or social scores are available – only technical and on-chain scores are present.

• Important nuances: Both timeframes show Wedge patterns (neutral by definition) but the arrow direction is bearish with validated targets below the analysis price. The 15m pattern score (57.88) is above the 50 midpoint, while the 30m score (49.71) is just below it – a minor divergence in confidence. No significant pattern conflict exists because both point down.

Pattern score: 57.88 (above neutral 50, indicating moderate confidence in the detected pattern). Analysis price: $7.83 Lines detected: 4 Significant patterns: Wedge (medium), Wedge (large) – both neutral in direction but the arrow is bearish. Direction: Down Target: $7.8127 (validated – below analysis price).

Pattern score: 49.71 (just below the neutral 50 midpoint, reflecting slightly lower confidence). Analysis price: $7.87 Lines detected: 6 Significant patterns: Wedge (medium), Wedge (large) – neutral patterns with a bearish arrow. Direction: Down Target: $5.8988 (validated – well below analysis price).

Note: The 30m target is significantly lower than the 15m target, but both are bearish. The 30m pattern score is slightly below neutral, suggesting the bearish signal is less robust than on the 15m.

• Important nuances: Both higher timeframes also show bearish wedge patterns with validated targets. The 1h pattern score (51.75) is just above neutral, while the 4h score (50.00) sits exactly at the neutral midpoint. The 4h score of 50 indicates no strong directional bias from the pattern alone, yet the arrow is bearish.

Pattern score: 51.75 (slightly above neutral 50). Analysis price: $7.86 Lines detected: 6 Significant patterns: Wedge (small), Wedge (medium), Wedge (large) – all neutral, but the arrow is bearish. Direction: Down Target: $6.68 (validated – below analysis price).

Pattern score: 50.00 (exactly at neutral – no directional conviction from the pattern score). Analysis price: $7.86 Lines detected: 4 Significant patterns: Wedge (medium), Wedge (large) – neutral patterns with a bearish arrow. Direction: Down Target: $6.009 (validated – below analysis price).

All four timeframes align on a bearish direction, reinforcing the downside bias. The 4h score of 50, however, suggests that the pattern alone does not provide strong confirmation.

The on-chain score of 44 (below neutral 50) reflects fundamental weakness. Key metrics:

The combination of declining TVL, zero stablecoin netflow (30d), and low fee generation suggests weak network usage. This on-chain backdrop does not support the recent price uptick and adds risk to the bullish case.

• Important nuances: On-chain data is sourced from DefiLlama (last updated 2026-08-11). Fees have increased 55.56% in the last 24 hours to $28, but the fees_change_1d_pct metric shows a negligible decline of -0.00185% – a data inconsistency that should be noted. Chain TVL has fallen 9.7% over 30 days. Stablecoin netflow over 30 days is -100%, indicating capital outflows.
• Fees (24h): $28 (up 55.56% from previous day, but the fees_change_1d_pct is essentially flat at -0.00185%).
• Chain TVL: $66,080.55 (down 1.75% in 24h, down 4.52% in 7d, down 9.74% in 30d).
• Stablecoin market cap: $73,717.00 (nearly unchanged in 24h, down 0.05% in 7d, down 0.05% in 30d).
• Stablecoin netflow (30d): -100% – a complete outflow over the month.
• Fee-to-TVL ratio (24h): 0.0004237, indicating very low economic activity relative to locked value.
• DEX volume: Not available.

Bearish confirmation: A sustained break below the 15m target of $7.8127 would confirm the short-term bearish bias. Further declines below $6.68 (1h target) and $6.009 (4h target) would reinforce the downside scenario.

Bullish invalidation: To invalidate the bearish pattern, price would need to rally above the analysis prices on the higher timeframes – specifically above $7.86 (1h and 4h analysis prices) and hold. A move above the 30m analysis price of $7.87 would also weaken the bearish case.

Note: The 4h pattern score of 50 means the pattern has low conviction; a break above $7.86 could quickly negate the 4h bearish signal.

• Important nuances: All triggers are based on valid targets from the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 4h charts. No invalid targets exist.

Short-term (days to weeks): The data leans bearish. All four timeframes show validated downside targets, and the on-chain fundamentals are weak. The 15m and 30m targets ($7.81 and $5.90) suggest immediate downside risk. However, the 24h price gain of 2.95% and the technical score of 57 introduce some uncertainty. A cautious interpretation is that the bearish pattern structure outweighs the mildly positive technical score, and the setup does not yet support buying in the short term.

Long-term (months): The on-chain deterioration – declining TVL, zero stablecoin netflow, and low fees – points to structural challenges. The weekly technical score of 72 is more optimistic, but it is based on older

For the full live dashboard, open the permanent Ethereum Classic hub: /crypto/etc/.