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USD/JPY Technical Analysis

158.42500+0.59% 24h

Overall rating

47/100 · Neutral
x

— · 24h rating

Price chart

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Analytical scores: . These scores do not refresh when the price changes. The market update below has its own source timestamp.

1h analysis

Why buy or sell Dollar Yen?

The two balances use the same independent inputs. They explain the recorded score snapshot; they are not a current price forecast or a trade command.

Signal summary

Why buy

50%bullish balance

Weighted average of 5 analysis layers for 1h. Technical analysis 30%, chart patterns 20%, market activity 20%, fundamentals 15%, and trader sentiment 15%; 40 to below 60/100 is neutral.

No layer is meaningfully bullish. The buy balance stays close to neutral.

Signal summary

Why sell

50%bearish balance

Weighted average of 5 analysis layers for 1h. Technical analysis 30%, chart patterns 20%, market activity 20%, fundamentals 15%, and trader sentiment 15%; 40 to below 60/100 is neutral.

No layer is meaningfully bearish. The sell balance is the remaining uncertainty, not a separate sell recommendation.

USD/JPY / Technical analytics

USD/JPY technical analysis

The hourly close remains inside the pattern; direction is unresolved.

TraderStat Team · Automated technical interpretation · Latest usable chart snapshot: 2026-11-08 12:47:05 UTC. Each timeframe retains its own timestamp.

The outlook at a glance

USD/JPY: the working scenario

The hourly reference corridor is 157.782–160.710. While completed closes remain inside it, neither directional breakout is confirmed.

A rising pair means a stronger dollar relative to the yen; a falling pair means the opposite. Scenarios are conditional, without assigned probabilities.
Completed H1 close
158.526
JPY per USD
Change across 24 H1 bars
+0.54%
First open to last close
Observed H1 sample range
157.257–158.582
Observed prices, not a forecast range
Usable chart intervals
5 / 5
5 with current boundaries
01 / The scenario map

What would turn the USD/JPY forecast bullish or bearish?

Base case

Follow the hourly evidence

The hourly reference corridor is 157.782–160.710. While completed closes remain inside it, neither directional breakout is confirmed.

↑ Bullish alternative

Buyers confirm control

A completed H1 close moving above the updated upper line (160.710 at observation), followed by a hold or retest, strengthens the upside case.

No independent upside target is assigned from a detector arrow.

↓ Bearish alternative

Sellers confirm pressure

A completed H1 close moving below the updated lower line (157.782 at observation) strengthens the downside case.

The sample low at 157.257 is a separate observed reference below this line; reaching it is not guaranteed.

Evidence for a rise and a fall

+ Supporting upside evidence

No usable formation currently closes above its boundaries. This case needs additional confirmation.

− Supporting downside evidence

No usable formation currently closes below its boundaries. This case needs additional confirmation.

Timeframes overlap: this is not a vote of independent signals. An intraday recovery can occur inside a broader decline.

02 / Technical analysis

Read the five timeframes together

Charts and technical scenarios refresh together from the same dated source snapshot. Arrows show the model direction, not a confirmed breakout or guaranteed price target.

01

Short term · M15 / M30

M15 describes the faster move; M30 tests whether it has wider intraday support. A break on one timeframe does not confirm the other.

M15 · Expanding two-line structure

USDJPY · 15m · ↑ Model direction: upUSDJPY · 15m · ↑ Model direction: up157.53157.93158.34158.742026-11-06 07:002026-11-06 21:45 UTC
Chart and analysis use the same snapshot · 2026-11-08 12:47:05.394763+00:00. Closed candles only. Arrow: current model direction, not a guaranteed price target. A header arrow uses the latest source candle, which may still be forming; plotted candles and analysis use completed bars.

Weekend market closure: last-session evidence retains its original candle date.

Completed close 158.52620-bar change +0.19%

The boundaries widen rather than compress. This is an expanding structure, so a conventional wedge-reversal assumption would be misleading.

What the close says: Price is between 157.328 and 158.615. Neither boundary has a closing-price break.

↑ Upside condition

Watch for a completed M15 close above the updated upper line, observed at 158.615.

↓ Downside condition

Watch for a completed M15 close below the updated lower line, observed at 157.328.

A close back inside weakens a breakout case. These sloping boundaries change with each bar; they are not fixed price targets.

Candle closed 2026-11-06 22:00:00 UTC · Snapshot 2026-11-08 12:47:05 UTC · JPY per USD.

M30 · Expanding two-line structure

USDJPY · 30m · ↓ Model direction: downUSDJPY · 30m · ↓ Model direction: down157.1157.65158.19158.742026-11-05 16:002026-11-06 21:30 UTC
Chart and analysis use the same snapshot · 2026-11-08 12:33:04.234932+00:00. Closed candles only. Arrow: current model direction, not a guaranteed price target. A header arrow uses the latest source candle, which may still be forming; plotted candles and analysis use completed bars.

Weekend market closure: last-session evidence retains its original candle date.

Completed close 158.52620-bar change +0.13%

The boundaries widen rather than compress. This is an expanding structure, so a conventional wedge-reversal assumption would be misleading.

What the close says: Price is between 156.627 and 161.646. Neither boundary has a closing-price break.

↑ Upside condition

Watch for a completed M30 close above the updated upper line, observed at 161.646.

↓ Downside condition

Watch for a completed M30 close below the updated lower line, observed at 156.627.

A close back inside weakens a breakout case. These sloping boundaries change with each bar; they are not fixed price targets.

Candle closed 2026-11-06 22:00:00 UTC · Snapshot 2026-11-08 12:33:04 UTC · JPY per USD.

02

Medium term · H1

The hourly close anchors the working scenario. An intraday bounce against this structure needs its own recovery confirmation.

H1 · Expanding two-line structure

USDJPY · 1h · ↓ Model direction: downUSDJPY · 1h · ↓ Model direction: down157.09157.67158.26158.842026-11-04 10:002026-11-06 21:00 UTC
Chart and analysis use the same snapshot · 2026-11-08 12:02:05.408493+00:00. Closed candles only. Arrow: current model direction, not a guaranteed price target. A header arrow uses the latest source candle, which may still be forming; plotted candles and analysis use completed bars.

Weekend market closure: last-session evidence retains its original candle date.

Completed close 158.52620-bar change +0.38%

The boundaries widen rather than compress. This is an expanding structure, so a conventional wedge-reversal assumption would be misleading.

What the close says: Price is between 157.782 and 160.710. Neither boundary has a closing-price break.

↑ Upside condition

Watch for a completed H1 close above the updated upper line, observed at 160.710.

↓ Downside condition

Watch for a completed H1 close below the updated lower line, observed at 157.782.

A close back inside weakens a breakout case. These sloping boundaries change with each bar; they are not fixed price targets.

Candle closed 2026-11-06 22:00:00 UTC · Snapshot 2026-11-08 12:02:05 UTC · JPY per USD.

03

Long term · D1 / W1

Daily and weekly structures describe the broader setting. Distant boundaries are context, not practical targets for the next few hours.

D1 · Expanding two-line structure

USDJPY · 1d · No current model projectionUSDJPY · 1d · No current model projection151.99155.09158.19161.292026-08-16 21:002026-11-05 22:00 UTC
Chart and analysis use the same snapshot · 2026-11-08 12:04:02.762822+00:00. Closed candles only. A directional arrow appears only when its source is current.

Weekend market closure: last-session evidence retains its original candle date.

Completed close 158.52620-bar change +0.15%

The boundaries widen rather than compress. This is an expanding structure, so a conventional wedge-reversal assumption would be misleading.

What the close says: Price is between 154.157 and 165.738. Neither boundary has a closing-price break.

↑ Upside condition

Watch for a completed D1 close above the updated upper line, observed at 165.738.

↓ Downside condition

Watch for a completed D1 close below the updated lower line, observed at 154.157.

A close back inside weakens a breakout case. These sloping boundaries change with each bar; they are not fixed price targets.

Candle closed 2026-11-06 22:00:00 UTC · Snapshot 2026-11-08 12:04:02 UTC · JPY per USD.

W1 · Expanding two-line structure

USDJPY · 1w · ↑ Model direction: upUSDJPY · 1w · ↑ Model direction: up143.26150.91158.56166.212025-09-07 21:002026-10-25 21:00 UTC
Chart and analysis use the same snapshot · 2026-11-08 12:04:59.193861+00:00. Closed candles only. Arrow: current model direction, not a guaranteed price target. A header arrow uses the latest source candle, which may still be forming; plotted candles and analysis use completed bars.

Weekend market closure: last-session evidence retains its original candle date.

Completed close 157.56120-bar change -1.65%

The boundaries widen rather than compress. This is an expanding structure, so a conventional wedge-reversal assumption would be misleading.

What the close says: Price is between 154.026 and 334.258. Neither boundary has a closing-price break.

↑ Upside condition

Watch for a completed W1 close above the updated upper line, observed at 334.258.

↓ Downside condition

Watch for a completed W1 close below the updated lower line, observed at 154.026.

A close back inside weakens a breakout case. These sloping boundaries change with each bar; they are not fixed price targets.

Candle closed 2026-11-01 21:00:00 UTC · Snapshot 2026-11-08 12:04:59 UTC · JPY per USD.

Key levels and their evidence

JPY per USD · Each line evaluated at its own closed candle
ChartLower boundaryUpper boundaryPosition
M15157.328158.615inside
M30156.627161.646inside
H1157.782160.710inside
D1154.157165.738inside
W1154.026334.258inside
04 / Public trader activity

What traders are publishing about USD/JPY

0 qualifying authors in the retrieved 24-hour sample; only each author's latest setup is counted. This is not a poll of all traders.

No qualifying source-linked setup from the last 24 hours is available in this sample. Older records are excluded; no current consensus is inferred.

The wider Forex and gold market

No qualifying source-linked setup from the last 24 hours is available in this sample. Older records are excluded; no current consensus is inferred.

Different instruments remain separate. A long EUR/USD and a long USD/JPY imply different dollar exposures. Setup directions cannot establish a market-wide macro opinion.

The next checkpoint

01 · Wait for a close

Use completed candles to evaluate a break. A wick or detector arrow does not establish confirmation.

02 · Watch for re-entry

A close back inside weakens the breakout reading. Refresh sloping levels before comparing the next bar.

03 · Recheck the context

Compare the intraday result with H1, then D1/W1. A fresh fundamental release needs separate verification.

05 / Questions traders ask

USD/JPY forecast FAQ

What is the USDJPY price prediction today?

The report sets out conditional upside and downside scenarios using dated chart boundaries. Closing-price confirmation and invalidation matter; no guaranteed numerical target is assigned.

What is the USD/JPY forecast today?

The hourly reference corridor is 157.782–160.710. While completed closes remain inside it, neither directional breakout is confirmed.

What could make USD/JPY rise or fall?

A completed H1 close moving above the updated upper line (160.710 at observation), followed by a hold or retest, strengthens the upside case. A completed H1 close moving below the updated lower line (157.782 at observation) strengthens the downside case. Neither outcome is guaranteed.

Are the chart boundaries price targets?

No. They are the pattern lines at an evaluated candle. Any sample high or low is a separate observed reference. None supplies a calibrated probability or promised return.

Do the charts update with the analysis?

Yes. Charts and text use the same source snapshot. Analysis uses completed candles; an arrow is a model scenario and does not establish a confirmed breakout.

How does this analysis update?

Technical scenarios are recalculated from refreshed source snapshots, with each timeframe retaining its timestamp. Stale evidence is excluded from current triggers. Charts are rendered from the same snapshots as the technical text; fundamental context is dated editorial material and does not update just because a price changes.

How should I read the trader sample?

It contains the latest available source-linked public setup per author within 24 hours. Missing publications remain missing. A buy or sell label does not supply the author’s reasoning or represent the whole market.

Sources and method

TraderStat interprets completed candles and valid pattern boundaries from its versioned chart snapshots. Only line segments covering the evaluated candle can define a trigger. An expanding or crossed structure is not silently treated as a converging wedge. Price changes and ranges use the stated sample of completed hourly bars, which can span market closures; they are not an implied calendar-day return.

Charts are drawn directly from the same candle snapshots used by the analysis. Stale snapshots cannot illustrate a current forecast. Fundamental facts link to their primary sources and retain their publication context. Interpretation is conditional market analysis, not personalised investment advice.

Methodology · USD/JPY technical chart · Compare tracked Forex traders
Quote and observed 24-hour range

Dollar Yen: market data update

Market observation dated (UTC).

Dollar Yen (USD / JPY) was quoted at 158.425 quote currency. This available observation is dated 2026-11-08T05:21:16.000Z; it is not a price prediction.

The provider-reported reference-period change is +0.59%. This describes the observed move, not a buy or sell signal.

Observed trading range

The provider's session low is 158.425 and high is 158.425 quote currency. The reported range is flat. These are observed extremes, not validated support, resistance or price targets.

How this update is produced

TraderStat calculates this summary automatically from timestamped market observations without generative AI. Source: yahoo. Market inputs are refreshed independently of the historical score snapshot and the separately dated analytical report. Missing values stay unavailable.

Forex and metals do not trade continuously throughout the weekend. The last session's observation retains its original time; refreshing this page does not create a new trading session. Holidays and source delays can also limit updates.

Read the methodology · Understand scores and their limitations

Technical

Trend and momentum scores by timeframe. Select a chart timeframe above to inspect its indicators.

TimeframeScoreSignal
15m38/100Sell
30m44/100Neutral
1h42/100Neutral
4h42/100Neutral
1d50/100Neutral
1w57/100Neutral

Indicators · 1h

IndicatorScore (0–100)
RSI44
MACD50
Moving Averages26
EMA Trend35
Bollinger Bands57
Stochastic Oscillator27
ADX49
ATR Volatility52
OBV43
Volume Trend46
Momentum39
CCI74
Williams %R14
VWAP9
Ichimoku Cloud71

Patterns

Pattern ratings across six timeframes. The chart above displays available pattern geometry for the selected timeframe.

TimeframeScoreSignal
15m50/100Neutral
30m50/100Neutral
1h50/100Neutral
4h50/100Neutral
1d50/100Neutral
1w50/100Neutral
View patterns on chart ↑

Social View

Published trader setups for Dollar Yen, including direction, levels and links to the original source.

SummaryActive social trader signals
2 buy0 sell

No verified social setups are currently available for this instrument.

Fundamental Rating

Macro and fundamental scores, separate from technical price indicators. Missing readings mean that no score is available for that timeframe.

TimeframeScoreSignal
15m46/100Neutral
30m46/100Neutral
1h46/100Neutral
4h46/100Neutral
1d46/100Neutral
1w46/100Neutral
TradingView chartMarket reference
Best Traders Ideas
Macro46/100
Market activitySocial100/100
Active signal direction
SummaryActive social trader signals
2 buy0 sell

No setups available.