Short-term: The data leans cautiously bullish. The 15m and 30m patterns both point upward, with oversold RSI on the 30m potentially supporting a bounce. However, the large gap between the 15m and 30m targets, combined with the 4h bearish pattern, suggests the upside is fragile. A move above $2.44 (30m target) would be an initial positive sign, but the $2.714 (1h target) level is more meaningful for sustainable momentum.
Long-term: The setup is not yet supportive of a sustained bullish trend. The 4h bearish pattern with a strong ADX (77) and low RSI (39) indicates that downside pressure may dominate on higher timeframes. The on-chain data shows mixed signals, with TVL growing but fee and DEX volume changes showing extreme declines. Until the 4h bearish target is invalidated (i.e., price holds above $2.2667), a cautious interpretation is warranted. The data does not yet support a confident long-term buy.
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