The Graph (GRT) Technical Analysis

• Current price: $0.0199 (synchronized from the latest lower-timeframe chart snapshot).
• Overall sentiment: Neutral to bearish. The technical score sits at 55 (slightly above neutral), but multiple wedge patterns on higher timeframes point lower.
• Lower timeframe conflict: The 15m chart shows no significant pattern, while the 30m chart reveals a bearish wedge. This short-term disagreement weakens conviction.
• Key risk: On-chain data is largely unavailable, limiting fundamental context. Bearish targets on the 1h and 4h charts suggest potential downside if confirmed.

The Graph (GRT) is trading at $0.0199 as of the latest chart data. The composite technical score from the TraderStat system is 55, slightly above neutral, driven by a mix of indicators: ADX (62), EMA (69), and momentum (65) lean bullish, while VWAP (45) and Bollinger Bands (47) lean bearish. The on-chain score is a flat 50, with no fees, TVL, or volume data available for the protocol. The 24h price change of +2.63% suggests recent upward movement, but the pattern-based analysis on higher timeframes warns of potential reversal.

• Important nuances: The overall technical score of 55 is just above the neutral 50 midpoint, indicating a mild bullish bias in the indicator blend. However, the on-chain score is exactly 50 (neutral), and most on-chain metrics are null, providing no additional conviction. The 24h price change is +2.63%, but this is not reflected in the current article price snapshot.

15m: Analysis price $0.01995. Pattern score is 0, and significant_pattern is false. No chart patterns were detected. Five trend lines exist (three support, two resistance) but none form a valid pattern. The technical score for the 15m is 60, above neutral, driven by OBV (74), Ichimoku (78), and Williams %R (71). However, the lack of a pattern means no actionable setup from this timeframe.

30m: Analysis price $0.0199. Pattern score is 50 (neutral), and significant_pattern is true. Two wedge patterns were identified (medium and large), both with neutral direction. The arrow direction is down, with a valid target of $0.01843 (below analysis price). The technical score for the 30m is 54, just above neutral, supported by ATR (81), CCI (69), and Stochastic (74), but weighed down by EMA (41) and moving averages (39). The bearish wedge suggests a potential decline, but the neutral pattern score indicates that the setup is not strongly confirmed.

• Important nuances: The 15m timeframe has a pattern score of 0 — no significant pattern detected, despite five trend lines drawn. The 30m timeframe has a pattern score of 50 (exactly neutral) but shows a bearish wedge with a valid target. This creates a short-term directional conflict: the 15m offers no guidance, while the 30m points lower.

1h: Analysis price $0.01937. Pattern score 50, significant_pattern true. Two wedge patterns (medium and large) with neutral direction. The arrow direction is down, with a valid target of $0.01631. The 1h technical score is 55, with mixed indicators: ADX (62), EMA (69), and MACD (56) lean bullish, while CCI (43), VWAP (45), and volume trend (46) lean bearish. The bearish wedge aligns with the slightly bearish lean of the lower timeframes.

4h: Analysis price $0.01961. Pattern score 50, significant_pattern true. Two wedge patterns (medium and large) with neutral direction. The arrow direction is down, with a valid target of $0.01505. The 4h technical score is 62, the highest among the timeframes, driven by VWAP (91), OBV (71), and momentum (78). However, RSI is 36 (oversold territory), which can be a contrarian bullish signal. The bearish wedge target is the most aggressive, suggesting a potential decline of roughly 23% from the analysis price.

• Important nuances: Both the 1h and 4h timeframes show bearish wedge patterns with valid targets. The 1h target is $0.01631, and the 4h target is $0.01505. The pattern scores are exactly 50 (neutral), meaning the patterns are present but not overwhelmingly strong. The 1h technical score is 55 (slightly above neutral), while the 4h technical score is 62 (moderately above neutral), indicating that the broader indicator backdrop is more supportive than the patterns alone suggest.

The on-chain snapshot from DefiLlama (updated 2026-08-11) shows no filled metrics for fees, TVL, or volume. The protocol matched is "the-graph," but chain TVL, DEX volume, and revenue are all null. The economic activity score is 0, and capital velocity score is 0. The stablecoin netflows are zero across all periods, suggesting no significant capital inflows or outflows. Without these data points, the on-chain context is effectively a blank slate, and the risk profile is driven entirely by technical patterns and price action.

• Important nuances: The on-chain score is exactly 50 (neutral), but nearly all underlying metrics are null. No fees, TVL, DEX volume, or stablecoin supply data are available. The only non-null values are stablecoin netflows (0 for 24h, 7d, and 30d), which indicate no net movement. This lack of data means on-chain fundamentals provide no edge for the current analysis.

Confirmation triggers: A decisive close below the 30m wedge support (near $0.0190) would confirm the short-term bearish bias, targeting $0.01843. For the 1h, a break below $0.0185 would open the path to $0.01631. On the 4h, a move below $0.0175 would target $0.01505. Volume expansion on the breakdown would strengthen the signal.

Invalidation triggers: A rally above the 30m resistance (near $0.0205) would negate the short-term wedge. On the 1h, a move above $0.0200 would invalidate the bearish setup. On the 4h, a close above $0.0210 would break the larger wedge pattern. The 15m, lacking a pattern, offers no specific invalidation level.

• Important nuances: All valid targets are bearish and come from wedge patterns with neutral direction scores. Confirmation requires price breakdown below wedge support, while invalidation would be a breakout above resistance. The 30m, 1h, and 4h targets are $0.01843, $0.01631, and $0.01505 respectively.

Short-term: The data leans cautiously bearish. The 30m wedge with a valid target points to a potential decline toward $0.01843, but the lack of a pattern on the 15m and the neutral pattern scores reduce conviction. A cautious interpretation is that the short-term setup favors sellers only if price breaks below the 30m support. Until then, the market appears range-bound.

Long-term: The data does not yet support a strong long-term directional bias. The 1d technical score of 72 is well above neutral, suggesting that the daily trend is bullish, but the 4h and 1h patterns warn of a potential correction. The on-chain data provides no fundamental support. A balanced view is that the long-term trend may remain intact if the bearish patterns fail to materialize, but the risk of a deeper pullback to the $0.015–$0.016 area cannot be dismissed. For a more comprehensive view, visit the permanent GRT analysis hub.

• Important nuances: The short-term read is clouded by the conflict between the 15m (no pattern) and 30m (bearish wedge). The longer timeframes (1h and 4h) align bearishly, but their pattern scores are neutral (50), not strongly bearish. The technical scores on the 4h (62) and 1d (72) suggest that the broader trend may still have upside momentum, creating a tension between pattern-based bearishness and indicator-based bullishness.