TraderStat

GRT

The Graph

The Graph (GRT) Technical Analysis Today

The Graph #111

$0.0133

Score 42/100

-1.26%
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Market analysis · September 7, 2026

The Graph Technical Analysis for 2026-09-07

A data-led view of trader positioning, market signals, technical indicators, and chart structure.

Signal summary

Why sell

78%share of directional edge to sell

Calculated from 35 TraderStat scores. Only points above or below the neutral 50/100 level count toward the edge.

Market summary

What is the current The Graph view?

The available TraderStat evidence is currently bearish: sellers hold the directional edge based on 35 scored data points.

The two cards above show which data layers create that edge. Scores close to 50/100 are treated as neutral, so only a meaningful deviation changes the buy or sell balance.

Chart structure

What does the chart say?

Chart-pattern score: No data. The chart view combines the latest detected pattern geometry with support and resistance context.

No named pattern is currently available for this timeframe; use the live chart and technical-analysis page for the latest structure.

Decision framework

Bullish and bearish scenarios

Bullish confirmation

The bullish case strengthens if 1w · Technical analysis and 1d · Technical analysis stay above the neutral 50/100 level and the chart confirms the move.

Bearish confirmation

The bearish case strengthens if Fundamental data and Trader sentiment remain below 50/100 or the chart invalidates the bullish setup.

Detailed daily analysis

Key Takeaways
  • Current price: $0.01822 as of the latest available snapshot.
  • Overall sentiment: Neutral. The technical score of 55 (slightly above the 50 midpoint) and on-chain score of 50 indicate a balanced bias with no strong directional conviction.
  • Lower-timeframe conflict: The 15-minute chart shows a bearish wedge target ($0.01816), while the 30-minute chart shows a bullish wedge target ($0.01790), creating a clear short-term directional conflict.
  • Key risk: Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts carry valid bearish targets ($0.01233 and $0.01549, respectively), which could dominate if lower-timeframe bullish momentum fades.
Overview

The technical score of 55 is slightly above the neutral 50 midpoint, indicating a mild bullish lean from the indicator set. The 1-hour technical score is also 55, while the 1-day and 1-week scores are notably higher (72 and 73), suggesting that longer-term indicator readings are more constructive. However, the on-chain score of 50 provides no additional conviction. The current price of $0.01822 represents a 2.63% gain over the prior 24 hours according to the stored price change percentage, but the overall data picture remains mixed.

  • Important nuances: Overall, fundamental, and social scores are not available. The technical score (55) is the only composite rating. The on-chain score (50) is flat neutral. Most on-chain metrics (TVL, fees, volume) are null, limiting fundamental context. The article date is 2026-09-07, but the supplied metric data dates to 2026-08-19 and pattern data to 2026-08-24/25, so the analysis reflects a potentially stale snapshot.
Lower Timeframe Analysis (15m and 30m)
  • Important nuances: The 15-minute and 30-minute charts exhibit conflicting directions. The 15m ADX is very low (14) and the 30m ADX is also low (17), indicating weak trend strength on both timeframes. The 15m volume trend score is 32 (bearish), while the 30m volume trend score is 42 (also low). The 15m pattern score of 54.67 is slightly above neutral, while the 30m score of 48.25 is below neutral, suggesting the 30m pattern is less reliable.
15-Minute Chart

Analysis price: $0.01822 | Lines: 6 | Patterns: 3 (Wedge small, Wedge medium, Wedge large) | Direction: Down | Target: $0.0181577 (valid – below analysis price) | Pattern score: 54.67. The score is slightly above the neutral 50 midpoint, indicating that the pattern recognition system sees a moderate bearish bias, though the low ADX and weak volume trend reduce confidence.

30-Minute Chart

Analysis price: $0.01743 | Lines: 6 | Patterns: 2 (Wedge medium, Wedge large) | Direction: Up | Target: $0.0178993 (valid – above analysis price) | Pattern score: 48.25. The score is below the neutral 50 midpoint, suggesting the pattern is less significant. The bullish wedge target is roughly $0.01790, which is below the current price of $0.01822, meaning the target would require a decline first to become relevant. The conflict between the 15m bearish and 30m bullish signals keeps the short-term outlook ambiguous.

Higher Timeframe Analysis (1h and 4h)
  • Important nuances: Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts carry bearish targets with pattern scores exactly at 50 (neutral). The 1-hour RSI is 54 (neutral), while the 4-hour RSI is 36 (oversold), which could indicate a potential bounce but also reflects recent selling pressure. The 1-hour volume trend score is 46 and the 4-hour volume trend is 63, showing mixed volume conviction.
1-Hour Chart

Analysis price: $0.01743 | Lines: 4 | Patterns: 2 (Wedge medium, Wedge large) | Direction: Down | Target: $0.0123289 (valid – well below analysis price) | Pattern score: 50.00. The score is exactly neutral, meaning the pattern is borderline significant. The bearish target is more than 28% below the current price, representing a substantial downside risk if the pattern plays out.

4-Hour Chart

Analysis price: $0.01745 | Lines: 6 | Patterns: 3 (Wedge small, Wedge medium, Wedge large) | Direction: Down | Target: $0.0154942 (valid – below analysis price) | Pattern score: 50.00. Again a neutral score. The 4-hour target is approximately 15% below the current price. The oversold 4-hour RSI (36) adds a nuance: while the pattern is bearish, the low RSI may attract buyers in the short term, potentially delaying or invalidating the downside target.

On-Chain Context and Risks

The on-chain context provides no actionable insight. The neutral score of 50 indicates that the limited data available does not skew bullish or bearish. The absence of meaningful on-chain metrics (e.g., TVL, fees, active addresses) means that fundamental signals are absent. The most significant risk is that the on-chain picture is opaque, leaving traders reliant solely on technical patterns and indicator scores. Any sudden change in on-chain activity (e.g., large token unlocks, staking changes) would not be captured in this snapshot.

  • Important nuances: The vast majority of on-chain metrics are null. The on-chain score is 50 (neutral). The only non-null data points are stablecoin netflows for 24h, 7d, and 30d, all recorded as 0. No TVL, fees, DEX volume, or protocol revenue data are available. The on-chain snapshot was generated on 2026-08-11, making it nearly a month old relative to the article date.
Confirmation and Invalidation Triggers
  • Confirmation triggers: For the bearish case, a sustained break below $0.01816 (15m target) would confirm the 15m wedge and open the path toward the 1h target of $0.01233. For the bullish case, a move above $0.01790 (30m target) – which is already exceeded by the current price of $0.01822 – would require a retest as support for the 30m wedge to be considered active.
  • Invalidation triggers: The 15m bearish wedge would be invalidated if price breaks above the wedge's resistance (not explicitly calculated but implied by the pattern). The 30m bullish wedge would be invalidated if price fails to hold above $0.01790 or drops below the 30m support. The 1h and 4h bearish targets are invalidated if price rallies above their respective resistance lines (not quantified in the data).
Short-Term and Long-Term Read

Short-term: The data leans slightly bearish. The 15-minute bearish wedge and the 1-hour and 4-hour bearish targets align, but the 30-minute bullish wedge introduces a conflict. The very low ADX values on the lower timeframes suggest that the current price action is trendless, and the 15-minute target is only $0.00006 below the current price, making a minor breakdown likely but not decisive. A cautious interpretation is that price may oscillate within the wedge structures before resolving lower.

Long-term: The setup is more clearly bearish. The 1-hour and 4-hour bearish targets represent significant potential downside (15–28% from the current price). The neutral pattern scores (50) limit conviction, but the alignment of these two higher timeframes in the same direction adds weight. The oversold 4-hour RSI (36) could provide a temporary lift, but the overall technical picture does not yet support a bullish long-term view. Traders may want to wait for either a confirmed breakdown below $0.01816 or a clear reversal pattern on the 4-hour timeframe before forming a directional bias.

For more context, see the full GRT analysis page.

Overall Score
42/100
x
Neutral

Combined signal across available data layers.

Timeframe map
Read the signal from D1 to M30
D1 answers whether the environment supports the idea. H1 defines the active setup. M30 is only for execution and should not overturn the daily context.
Evidence, not decoration
Why the rating is 42/100
“Rating pressure” is an estimated direction versus a neutral score of 50. It is deliberately not shown as an exact model weight.

Statistics

24h price change

-1.26%

Analysis coverage

6 timeframes

Data layers

6 independent scores