TraderStat

COMP

Compound

Compound (COMP) Technical Analysis Today

Compound #227

$15.95

Score 53/100

-1.36%
Loading TradingView chart…

На графике показаны паттерны, сформированные на основе анализа сделок и сигналов лучших трейдеров TraderStat.

Market analysis · September 4, 2026

Compound Technical Analysis for 2026-09-04

A data-led view of trader positioning, market signals, technical indicators, and chart structure.

Signal summary

Why buy

88%share of directional edge to buy

Calculated from 35 TraderStat scores. Only points above or below the neutral 50/100 level count toward the edge.

Market summary

What is the current Compound view?

The available TraderStat evidence is currently bullish: buyers hold the directional edge based on 35 scored data points.

The two cards above show which data layers create that edge. Scores close to 50/100 are treated as neutral, so only a meaningful deviation changes the buy or sell balance.

Chart structure

What does the chart say?

Chart-pattern score: No data. The chart view combines the latest detected pattern geometry with support and resistance context.

No named pattern is currently available for this timeframe; use the live chart and technical-analysis page for the latest structure.

Decision framework

Bullish and bearish scenarios

Bullish confirmation

The bullish case strengthens if 1w · Technical analysis and 1w · Overall score stay above the neutral 50/100 level and the chart confirms the move.

Bearish confirmation

The bearish case strengthens if 30m · Technical analysis and 15m · Technical analysis remain below 50/100 or the chart invalidates the bullish setup.

Detailed daily analysis

Key Takeaways
  • Current price: $19.62 (article current price).
  • Overall sentiment: Mixed. The composite technical score sits at 48 (slightly below the neutral 50 midpoint), while the on-chain score is exactly 50 (neutral).
  • Lower-timeframe conflict: The 15m, 30m, and 1h charts all show bearish wedge patterns with valid downside targets near $18.63, but the 4h chart presents a bullish wedge targeting $21.43 — a clear directional conflict between short- and medium-term timeframes.
  • Key risk: The bearish lower-timeframe patterns could drive further declines, though deeply oversold RSI readings (13 on the 30m, 22 on the 15m) suggest selling pressure may be exhausting in the very near term.
Overview

Compound (COMP) is trading at $19.62 as of the latest snapshot. The technical landscape is fragmented: lower timeframes (15m through 1h) are aligned bearishly with wedge patterns pointing to further downside, while the 4h timeframe breaks rank with a bullish wedge. The on-chain picture remains largely opaque due to extensive null data, providing little fundamental context. The overall technical score of 48 (out of 100) sits just below the neutral midpoint, reflecting a market that is technically weak but not yet oversold on the aggregate level.

  • Important nuances: The overall technical score of 48 is below the neutral 50, indicating a slightly bearish lean across the aggregate indicator set. The on-chain score is exactly 50, offering no directional bias. The 24h price change is +2.352%, but this is not reflected in the pattern-based analysis which shows a bearish tilt on lower timeframes.
Lower Timeframe Analysis (15m and 30m)

15m Timeframe: The pattern score is 52.92 (slightly above 50, indicating a moderately significant pattern). The chart contains 8 lines forming three wedge patterns (small, medium, large). The direction is down with a valid target of $18.60, below the analysis price of $19.62. The 15m technical score is 47, just under the neutral midpoint, driven by a very low Bollinger Bands reading of 9 and a low RSI of 22. The MACD score of 65 is bullish, creating a divergence with the bearish pattern.

30m Timeframe: The pattern score is 46.5 (below 50, indicating a less significant pattern but still valid). Six lines produce three wedge patterns, all neutral in direction but the arrow points down. The valid target is $18.63, below the analysis price of $19.65. The 30m technical score is 40, the weakest among all timeframes, with an RSI of 13 (deeply oversold) and a MACD score of 32 (bearish). The ADX of 21 suggests a weak trend, but the oversold RSI may signal a potential bounce.

  • Important nuances: Both timeframes show bearish wedge patterns with valid targets. The 30m RSI is extremely oversold at 13, and the 15m RSI is also low at 22. The 30m technical score of 40 is notably weaker than the 15m score of 47, indicating more pronounced bearish pressure on the 30m chart.
Higher Timeframe Analysis (1h and 4h)

1h Timeframe: The pattern score is 46.79 (below 50, but significant_pattern is true). Eight lines form three wedge patterns, all neutral in direction but the arrow points down. The valid target is $18.65, below the analysis price of $19.65. The 1h technical score is 48, with a CCI of 72 (overbought) and an RSI of 37 (bearish). The MACD score of 61 is bullish, again diverging from the bearish pattern.

4h Timeframe: The pattern score is exactly 50 (neutral threshold). Six lines produce three wedge patterns, all neutral in direction but the arrow points up. The valid target is $21.43, above the analysis price of $19.65. The 4h technical score is 53 (slightly bullish), with an ADX of 72 (strong trend) and a volume trend score of 79 (strong). The RSI of 32 is oversold, supporting the bullish pattern. This is the only timeframe with a bullish directional bias.

  • Important nuances: The 1h and 4h timeframes are in direct conflict: the 1h is bearish (target $18.65) while the 4h is bullish (target $21.43). The 1h technical score of 48 is near neutral, while the 4h score of 53 is slightly bullish. The 4h pattern score is exactly 50, right at the neutral threshold.
On-Chain Context and Risks

The on-chain score of 50 offers no directional insight. The on-chain snapshot (source: DefiLlama, protocol: compound-v3) shows a chain TVL change of -0.56% over 1 day, -0.46% over 7 days, and -0.12% over 1 hour. However, the changes_json reveals much sharper declines: the 1-day chain change is -78.93%, the 1-hour change is -100% (complete decline), and the 7-day change is also -100%. This discrepancy suggests the snapshot may represent a different metric or a smoothed value. Regardless, the data indicates significant contraction in chain TVL. Stablecoin netflows are zero across all periods, and all other on-chain metrics (fees, DEX volume, revenue) are unavailable. The lack of fundamental data makes it difficult to assess protocol health from an on-chain perspective.

  • Important nuances: The on-chain dataset is heavily incomplete — most fields are null, including fees, TVL, DEX volume, and stablecoin metrics. The on-chain score is 50 (neutral) but based on only 9 filled metrics out of many. The available chain TVL changes show significant declines over multiple periods.
Confirmation and Invalidation Triggers

Bearish triggers (from 15m, 30m, 1h): A sustained break below the $18.60–$18.65 zone (the cluster of bearish targets) would confirm the downside wedge patterns and open the path toward lower levels. The 15m target of $18.60 is the most immediate.

Bullish trigger (from 4h): A move above the 4h analysis price of $19.65 and toward the $21.43 target would confirm the bullish wedge. Given the current price of $19.62, a breakout above $19.65 would be the first step.

Invalidation: If the 4h bullish pattern is invalidated (e.g., price fails to hold above $19.65 and breaks below $18.60), the bearish lower-timeframe scenario would dominate. Conversely, if the lower-timeframe bearish targets are invalidated by a strong rally above $19.65, the 4h bullish pattern would gain credibility.

  • Important nuances: All triggers are based on valid targets from the pattern charts. The 4h bullish target conflicts with the lower timeframe bearish targets, so confirmation of one direction would invalidate the other.
Short-Term and Long-Term Read

Short-term (hours to days): The data leans bearish. The alignment of three lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) with valid downside targets and oversold RSI readings suggests that while a bounce is possible, the path of least resistance is lower. The 30m RSI of 13 is extremely oversold, which could lead to a short-term snapback, but the pattern structure favors continued decline toward the $18.60–$18.65 zone. A cautious interpretation is that sellers remain in control until the 4

For the full live dashboard, open the permanent Compound hub: /crypto/comp/.

Overall Score
53/100
x
Neutral

Combined signal across available data layers.

Timeframe map
Read the signal from D1 to M30
D1 answers whether the environment supports the idea. H1 defines the active setup. M30 is only for execution and should not overturn the daily context.
Evidence, not decoration
Why the rating is 53/100
“Rating pressure” is an estimated direction versus a neutral score of 50. It is deliberately not shown as an exact model weight.

Statistics

24h price change

-1.36%

Analysis coverage

6 timeframes

Data layers

6 independent scores