The Graph (GRT) Analysis Today

Key Takeaways

• Current Price: The Graph (GRT) is trading at $0.01433 as of the latest 15m chart snapshot.
• Overall Sentiment: Mixed. The overall technical score sits at 55 (slightly bullish), but the on-chain score is a neutral 50. The 1d and 1w technical scores are notably higher at 72 and 73, suggesting a more positive long-term technical structure.
• Lower-Timeframe Conflict: A clear conflict exists between the 15m (bullish target at $0.01454) and 30m (bearish target at $0.01408) timeframes, creating short-term uncertainty.
• Key Risk: The 4h chart shows a low pattern score of 16.17, indicating a weak bullish signal. The lack of on-chain data (fees, TVL, volume) means fundamental conviction is absent.

Overview

• Important nuances: The overall technical score of 55 is just above the neutral 50 midpoint, indicating a mild bullish bias. However, the on-chain score is exactly 50, providing no directional conviction. The 1d and 1w technical scores (72 and 73) are significantly higher, pointing to a stronger trend on higher timeframes.

The Graph is currently priced at $0.01433. The composite technical score is 55, slightly above the neutral 50 mark, suggesting a modestly constructive technical setup. This is primarily driven by the 1d (72) and 1w (73) technical scores, which are well above neutral. The on-chain score is a flat 50, reflecting a lack of fundamental data to confirm or refute the technical picture. The fundamental and social scores are not available.

Lower Timeframe Analysis (15m and 30m)

• Important nuances: The 15m and 30m timeframes are in direct conflict. The 15m shows a bullish target, while the 30m shows a bearish target. Both have valid targets, but the 15m has a slightly higher pattern score (50 vs. 54.08).

15-Minute Chart: The pattern score is 50.00, with 4 lines and 2 significant patterns (Wedge, Wedge). The direction is up, with a valid target at $0.01454, above the analysis price of $0.01433. The RSI is 55, and the MACD is 67, both in neutral-to-bullish territory.

30-Minute Chart: The pattern score is 54.08, with 5 lines and 3 significant patterns (Wedge, Wedge, Wedge). The direction is down, with a valid target at $0.01408, below the analysis price of $0.01433. The RSI is 56, and the MACD is 42, which is bearish.

Conflict: The 15m chart points to a short-term move higher, while the 30m chart points to a move lower. This conflict creates a high degree of uncertainty for very short-term positioning.

Higher Timeframe Analysis (1h and 4h)

• Important nuances: The 1h and 4h timeframes are also in conflict. The 1h shows a bearish target, while the 4h shows a bullish target. The 4h pattern score is very low at 16.17, indicating a weak signal.

1-Hour Chart: The pattern score is 50.00, with 4 lines and 2 significant patterns (Channel, Wedge). The direction is down, with a valid target at $0.01408, below the analysis price of $0.01433. The 1h technical score is 55, with a neutral RSI of 54 and a MACD of 56.

4-Hour Chart: The pattern score is 16.17, with 4 lines and 2 significant patterns (Wedge, Wedge). The direction is up, with a valid target at $0.01481, above the analysis price of $0.01425. The 4h technical score is 62, but the RSI is 36 (oversold) and the MACD is 69. The low pattern score suggests this bullish signal is weak.

On-Chain Context and Risks

• Important nuances: The on-chain score is a neutral 50. All key metrics—including fees, TVL, DEX volume, and stablecoin market cap—are null. The changes_json shows no data for any timeframe.

The on-chain data for The Graph is largely unavailable. The on-chain score from DefiLlama is 50, but this is based on only 6 filled metrics, none of which are the core activity drivers. Fees, chain TVL, and DEX volume are all null. This absence of fundamental data means the analysis is almost entirely technical. The risk is that price action is not supported by underlying network activity, making moves potentially less sustainable.

Confirmation and Invalidation Triggers

• Important nuances: Triggers are based on the valid targets from the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 4h timeframes. The conflicting signals mean a clear directional trigger is not yet established.

Bullish Triggers: A sustained move above the 15m target of $0.01454 would confirm the short-term bullish pattern. A move above the 4h target of $0.01481 would confirm the higher-timeframe bullish signal, despite its low score.

Bearish Triggers: A break below the 30m and 1h target of $0.01408 would confirm the bearish patterns on those timeframes, invalidating the 15m and 4h bullish signals.

Short-Term and Long-Term Read

Short-Term: The setup leans bearish due to the conflict. While the 15m chart shows a bullish target, the 30m and 1h charts both point lower. The data does not yet support a clear short-term directional bias. A cautious interpretation is to wait for a decisive break above $0.01454 or below $0.01408.

Long-Term: The data leans slightly bullish. The 1d and 1w technical scores are strong (72 and 73), and the 4h chart, despite its low score, has a bullish target. The lack of on-chain data is a significant caveat, but the higher-timeframe technical structure appears more constructive than the short-term chaos. The data does not yet support a strong long-term conviction, but the higher-timeframe scores are encouraging.

For the latest data, visit the The Graph analysis hub.